Prediction evidence
correctPolicy v1.0Source post
Published 18 Sept 2026, 16:58 UTC · fetched 13 Oct 2026, 05:55 UTC
Michaël van de Poppe
@CryptoMichNL
Quoting · 18 Sept 2026, 14:00 UTC · context given to the AI
$58,000 was one of the most obvious cycle bottoms No compassion if you missed it https://t.co/oEfLDSfXhaIn hindsight, every bottom will look easy. In the actual moment, every bottom feels the hardest to buy. This time, it was so evident. Similarly with #Altcoins. The technical signals have been there, the fundamental reasons have been there, yet, most didn't dare to be buying into it. Well, we're just getting started on #Bitcoin.View original on X ↗
How this was scored
Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result
- Baseline: first BTC price at or after publication, $80,825 at 18 Sept 2026, 17:00 UTC.
- Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $81,813 at 19 Sept 2026, 17:00 UTC.
r = 81813.35 / 80825.32 − 1 = +1.22%- Direction d = +1 (bullish), so
d × r = +1.22%against a neutral band of ±1.00% → correct
Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology
AI interpretation
Uses only text available at publication time
- Asset
- Bitcoin (BTC)
- Direction
- ▲ Bullish
- Intent
- inferred
- Horizon
- 24 hours (default, none stated)
- Evidence span
- “Well, we're just getting started on #Bitcoin.”
- Confidence
- 80%
- Review state
- auto accepted
- Model / prompt
- gemini-3.1-flash-lite · prompt-v1
Outcome record
- Status
- correct
- Baseline price
- $80,825
- Evaluation price
- $81,813
- Move
- +1.22%
- Neutral threshold
- ±1.00%
- Price provider
- coinbase
- Evaluated at
- 13 Oct 2026, 06:11 UTC
- Policy version
- v1.0