Prediction evidence

unscoredPolicy v1.0

Source post

Published 18 Sept 2026, 14:13 UTC · fetched 12 Oct 2026, 06:28 UTC

The Wolf Of All Streets

@scottmelker

Quoting · 18 Sept 2026, 13:01 UTC · context given to the AI

Bitcoin Is Up 32% This Quarter - And The Market Still Doesn’t Believe It | Haseeb Qureshi https://t.co/3KGcdx7ZVe
Bitcoin is holding at $78,000 through a rate hike and the Clarity Act failing, and nobody's paying attention "The price of a Bitcoin right now is $78,000. To me that is really good news, considering that we got rejected on the Clarity Act, that rates went up, and Bitcoin continues to hold exceptionally strong." "Bitcoin's up 32% this quarter and nobody's even paying attention. It's like it doesn't even exist. And it's happening consistently with bad news." "I told you in my opinion that we had likely bottomed because bad news stopped mattering. Taylor was selling Bitcoin, 1,000 plus Bitcoin at a clip. We have exchanges collapsing. I think another exchange just collapsed this week. CoinX, SendX, BitMart, BitMEX, a lot of Xs, which is what they now are, ex exchanges." "And none of that mattered. Market just kind of stayed flat, and then we got the massive pump and we've stayed there."
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How this was scored

Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result

unscored Awaiting manual review

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology

AI interpretation

Uses only text available at publication time

Asset
Bitcoin (BTC)
Direction
▲ Bullish
Intent
inferred
Horizon
24 hours (default, none stated)
Evidence span
“Bitcoin is holding at $78,000 through a rate hike and the Clarity Act failing, and nobody's paying attention "The price of a Bitcoin right now is $78,000. To me that is really good news, considering that we got rejected on the Clarity Act, that rates went up, and Bitcoin continues to hold exceptionally strong." "Bitcoin's up 32% this quarter and nobody's even paying attention. It's like it doesn't even exist. And it's happening consistently with bad news." "I told you in my opinion that we had likely bottomed because bad news stopped mattering. Taylor was selling Bitcoin, 1,000 plus Bitcoin at a clip. We have exchanges collapsing. I think another exchange just collapsed this week. CoinX, SendX, BitMart, BitMEX, a lot of Xs, which is what they now are, ex exchanges." "And none of that mattered. Market just kind of stayed flat, and then we got the massive pump and we've stayed there."”
Confidence
70%
Review state
needs review · Low confidence (70%); Evidence not found in post
Model / prompt
gemini-3.1-flash-lite · prompt-v1

Outcome record

Status
unscored
Baseline price
—
Evaluation price
—
Move
—
Neutral threshold
±1.00%
Price provider
—
Evaluated at
13 Oct 2026, 06:11 UTC
Policy version
v1.0

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