Prediction evidence
correctPolicy v1.0Source post
Published 18 Sept 2026, 13:59 UTC · fetched 13 Oct 2026, 05:56 UTC
Wendy O
@CryptoWendyO
Quoting · 18 Sept 2026, 13:46 UTC · context given to the AI
JUST IN: CFTC has sent its crypto rules to the White House for reviewL O L The SEC and the CFTC are not playing around when it comes to crypto market structure Bitcoin Pumping ZEC Pumping We are going so much HIGHER! Trade with my link https://t.co/rjYBb3Ws12 https://t.co/Y5nBLB2Mx3 https://t.co/DTOo2nJbpYView original on X ↗
How this was scored
Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result
- Baseline: first BTC price at or after publication, $80,024 at 18 Sept 2026, 14:00 UTC.
- Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $81,325 at 19 Sept 2026, 14:00 UTC.
r = 81324.88 / 80024.05 − 1 = +1.63%- Direction d = +1 (bullish), so
d × r = +1.63%against a neutral band of ±1.00% → correct
Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology
AI interpretation
Uses only text available at publication time
- Asset
- Bitcoin (BTC)
- Direction
- ▲ Bullish
- Intent
- explicit
- Horizon
- 24 hours (default, none stated)
- Evidence span
- “We are going so much HIGHER!”
- Confidence
- 90%
- Review state
- auto accepted
- Model / prompt
- gemini-3.1-flash-lite · prompt-v1
Outcome record
- Status
- correct
- Baseline price
- $80,024
- Evaluation price
- $81,325
- Move
- +1.63%
- Neutral threshold
- ±1.00%
- Price provider
- coinbase
- Evaluated at
- 13 Oct 2026, 06:11 UTC
- Policy version
- v1.0