Prediction evidence

unscoredPolicy v1.0

Source post

Published 17 Sept 2026, 19:31 UTC · fetched 12 Oct 2026, 06:28 UTC

The Wolf Of All Streets

@scottmelker

Quoting · 17 Sept 2026, 17:10 UTC · context given to the AI

Brian Armstrong On The Failed Clarity Act 0:25 Why the final Clarity Act draft was a good bill 1:43 What actually killed the Clarity Act 5:25 Is the Clarity Act dead for good? 7:42 Did the banks shoot themselves in the foot on stablecoin rewards? 9:26 What the SEC and CFTC can do without Congress 10:51 Regulation Crypto and the problem with accredited investor rules 13:54 Can rulemaking last without legislation? 16:34 Launching through litigation, and why no bill could help Coinbase 19:12 Tokenized stocks and bringing them to the US 23:31 Building the everything exchange 27:05 Agentic finance and AI agents paying each other 29:32 AI doomerism and the history of moral panics 33:39 Has bitcoin bottomed? The $400K by 2030 case 35:27 Giving away 1 BTC to early Coinbase users in 2012
Brian Armstrong on crypto becoming much bigger than Bitcoin "A lot of people, when they hear crypto, they still think about Bitcoin or something like that. And Bitcoin's great. It's digital gold, it's gonna be here forever. I'm very bullish on Bitcoin." "But crypto is actually much bigger than that now. Crypto is a technology that's updating every aspect of the financial system, from trading of all these different asset classes, including stocks and prediction markets and commodities and FX." "It's also updating payments. Stablecoin payments are growing like crazy. It's doing tokenization." "We can talk later about agentic finance, which I think is very powerful, and that's primarily a phenomenon happening on crypto rails." "So crypto, you should think of it as just a way to update the financial system writ large." "And many people who don't even really care about crypto are gonna be able to benefit from it, just making better financial services."
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How this was scored

Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result

unscored Repeat call within an existing 24h episode

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology

AI interpretation

Uses only text available at publication time

Asset
Bitcoin (BTC)
Direction
▲ Bullish
Intent
explicit
Horizon
24 hours (default, none stated)
Evidence span
“I'm very bullish on Bitcoin.”
Confidence
100%
Review state
auto accepted
Model / prompt
gemini-3.1-flash-lite · prompt-v1

Outcome record

Status
unscored
Baseline price
—
Evaluation price
—
Move
—
Neutral threshold
±1.00%
Price provider
—
Evaluated at
13 Oct 2026, 06:11 UTC
Policy version
v1.0

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