Prediction evidence
unscoredPolicy v1.0Source post
Published 16 Sept 2026, 18:26 UTC · fetched 13 Oct 2026, 05:55 UTC
Michaël van de Poppe
@CryptoMichNL
Quoting · 16 Sept 2026, 18:07 UTC · context given to the AI
FOMC increases rates by 25bps. That’s not a bad sign. That’s a good sign. Pump the markets.Cutting rates would be incredibly bad for markets. Holding steady would be ok. Hiking rates effectively increases QE, so #Bitcoin can rally. https://t.co/B7ezF2p5cFView original on X ↗
How this was scored
Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result
unscored Repeat call within an existing 24h episode
Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology
Same 24h episode
Repeated same-asset, same-direction calls count once, anchored to the first eligible post
- “There's always a huge question of whether we'll be seeing an altseason ever again. We've just seen a strong expansion in selective assets: $HYPE, $ZEC, $LIT, $VVV and $NEAR is starting. The reason that it's selective is just a liquidity thing. As long as there's not much liquidity in the markets, you'll have selective runners. In order to get more liquidity, #Bitcoin needs to move higher.”Repeat16 Sept 2026, 15:57 UTC
AI interpretation
Uses only text available at publication time
- Asset
- Bitcoin (BTC)
- Direction
- ▲ Bullish
- Intent
- inferred
- Horizon
- 24 hours (default, none stated)
- Evidence span
- “Hiking rates effectively increases QE, so #Bitcoin can rally.”
- Confidence
- 70%
- Review state
- auto accepted
- Model / prompt
- gemini-3.1-flash-lite · prompt-v1
Outcome record
- Status
- unscored
- Baseline price
- —
- Evaluation price
- —
- Move
- —
- Neutral threshold
- ±1.00%
- Price provider
- —
- Evaluated at
- 13 Oct 2026, 06:11 UTC
- Policy version
- v1.0
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