Prediction evidence
correctPolicy v1.0Source post
Published 16 Sept 2026, 13:01 UTC · fetched 13 Oct 2026, 05:55 UTC
K A L E O
@CryptoKaleo
In reply to · 15 Sept 2026, 18:46 UTC · context given to the AI
#Ethereum / ethereum:native This too shall pass. Fear = opportunity. https://t.co/0aQBFEteh2#Ethereum / $ETH Don't let them shake you out before the real fun starts. https://t.co/tcKTMpVlLnView original on X ↗
How this was scored
Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result
- Baseline: first ETH price at or after publication, $2,392 at 16 Sept 2026, 14:00 UTC.
- Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $2,460 at 17 Sept 2026, 14:00 UTC.
r = 2460.03 / 2392.2 − 1 = +2.84%- Direction d = +1 (bullish), so
d × r = +2.84%against a neutral band of ±1.25% → correct
Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology
AI interpretation
Uses only text available at publication time
- Asset
- Ethereum (ETH)
- Direction
- ▲ Bullish
- Intent
- inferred
- Horizon
- 24 hours (default, none stated)
- Evidence span
- “Don't let them shake you out before the real fun starts.”
- Confidence
- 80%
- Review state
- auto accepted
- Model / prompt
- gemini-3.1-flash-lite · prompt-v1
Outcome record
- Status
- correct
- Baseline price
- $2,392
- Evaluation price
- $2,460
- Move
- +2.84%
- Neutral threshold
- ±1.25%
- Price provider
- coinbase
- Evaluated at
- 13 Oct 2026, 06:11 UTC
- Policy version
- v1.0