Prediction evidence

unscoredPolicy v1.0

Source post

Published 15 Sept 2026, 18:54 UTC · fetched 13 Oct 2026, 05:55 UTC

Michaël van de Poppe

@CryptoMichNL

I'm positively surprised by the price action of #Bitcoin so far. Not dumping through, little bounce back upwards. Everyone, their mother, their cousin and their grandmom are currently shorting #Bitcoin as a shock event, but I don't think that's the play when we've been sweeping the lows.

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How this was scored

Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result

unscored Repeat call within an existing 24h episode

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology

Same 24h episode

Repeated same-asset, same-direction calls count once, anchored to the first eligible post

“If this dips further, then anything beneath $75,700 is essentially a steal for #Bitcoin. https://t.co/aQvyIxaNJV”Repeat15 Sept 2026, 11:28 UTC
“We keep on falling down with the markets and #Bitcoin as this continues. With this speed, Bitcoin hits $74,000 prior to the vote and will bounce back massively once it hits 'APPROVED' tonight. https://t.co/qodrYJlRTE”Repeat15 Sept 2026, 14:59 UTC
“This is the area where I'm getting interested on the markets, as #Bitcoin sweeps the lows here. I'm more or less most interest if this goes to $74,000 as that's been my preferred area all along. Sweep of the lows done, fear is in the markets, and we most likey get a ton of short liquidity in the markets now too.”Repeat15 Sept 2026, 20:26 UTC

AI interpretation

Uses only text available at publication time

Asset: Bitcoin (BTC)
Direction: ▲ Bullish
Intent: inferred
Horizon: 24 hours (default, none stated)
Evidence span: “I'm positively surprised by the price action of #Bitcoin so far. Not dumping through, little bounce back upwards.”
Confidence: 70%
Review state: auto accepted
Model / prompt: gemini-3.1-flash-lite · prompt-v1

Outcome record

Status: unscored
Baseline price: —
Evaluation price: —
Move: —
Neutral threshold: ±1.00%
Price provider: —
Evaluated at: 13 Oct 2026, 06:11 UTC
Policy version: v1.0

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