Prediction evidence
correctPolicy v1.0Source post
Published 15 Sept 2026, 17:14 UTC · fetched 13 Oct 2026, 05:55 UTC
K A L E O
@CryptoKaleo
$HMM is about to breakout vs. $ETH The top pure meme on the top launchpad on Robinhood Chain is about to wake up If SOL had multiple $5B dogs last cycle, Hood will have multiple cats go even higher Be more bullish https://t.co/P87svMLqDDView original on X ↗
How this was scored
Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result
- Baseline: first ETH price at or after publication, $2,439 at 15 Sept 2026, 18:00 UTC.
- Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $2,387 at 16 Sept 2026, 18:00 UTC.
r = 2387.45 / 2439.31 − 1 = -2.13%- Direction d = −1 (bearish), so
d × r = +2.13%against a neutral band of ±1.25% → correct
Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology
AI interpretation
Uses only text available at publication time
- Asset
- Ethereum (ETH)
- Direction
- ▼ Bearish
- Intent
- inferred
- Horizon
- 24 hours (default, none stated)
- Evidence span
- “$HMM is about to breakout vs. $ETH”
- Confidence
- 70%
- Review state
- auto accepted
- Model / prompt
- gemini-3.1-flash-lite · prompt-v1
Outcome record
- Status
- correct
- Baseline price
- $2,439
- Evaluation price
- $2,387
- Move
- -2.13%
- Neutral threshold
- ±1.25%
- Price provider
- coinbase
- Evaluated at
- 13 Oct 2026, 06:11 UTC
- Policy version
- v1.0