Prediction evidence
correctPolicy v1.0Source post
Published 15 Sept 2026, 07:19 UTC · fetched 12 Oct 2026, 06:23 UTC
Ash Crypto
@AshCrypto
BTC dominance is forming a bearish descending triangle on the weekly chart. Massive for Altcoins if this plays out. https://t.co/qN91BtgvAeView original on X ↗
How this was scored
Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result
- Baseline: first BTC price at or after publication, $76,878 at 15 Sept 2026, 08:00 UTC.
- Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $75,690 at 16 Sept 2026, 08:00 UTC.
r = 75690.46 / 76877.81 − 1 = -1.54%- Direction d = −1 (bearish), so
d × r = +1.54%against a neutral band of ±1.00% → correct
Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology
AI interpretation
Uses only text available at publication time
- Asset
- Bitcoin (BTC)
- Direction
- ▼ Bearish
- Intent
- inferred
- Horizon
- 24 hours (default, none stated)
- Evidence span
- “BTC dominance is forming a bearish descending triangle on the weekly chart.”
- Confidence
- 80%
- Review state
- auto accepted
- Model / prompt
- gemini-3.1-flash-lite · prompt-v1
Outcome record
- Status
- correct
- Baseline price
- $76,878
- Evaluation price
- $75,690
- Move
- -1.54%
- Neutral threshold
- ±1.00%
- Price provider
- coinbase
- Evaluated at
- 13 Oct 2026, 06:11 UTC
- Policy version
- v1.0