Prediction evidence
correctPolicy v1.0Source post
Published 13 Sept 2026, 19:11 UTC · fetched 12 Oct 2026, 06:34 UTC
Anthony Pompliano 🌪
@APompliano
Quoting · 12 Sept 2026, 16:29 UTC · context given to the AI
This week @jvisserlabs explains why interest rates do not affect the US economy like they used to. All the doomers worried about interest rates and oil prices are offsides. We also discuss why the Clarity Act could send bitcoin to $100K, how AI's exponential progress is leaving the market mispriced, the Fed's rate decision, the Trump-Bessent-Warsh alignment on AI and crypto, and why the AI bubble skeptics have it backwards. YouTube: https://t.co/1TecB85mkA Spotify: https://t.co/usIz2O29I3 Apple: https://t.co/usIz2O29I3 TIMESTAMPS: 0:00 - Intro 0:57 - Do interest rates even matter anymore? 4:44 - Static vs Dynamic investors 9:30 - AI agents vs hedge funds vs retail: the new market structure 12:01 - How do you actually value crypto? (Robinhood chain & tokenization) 23:09 - Timing the next bitcoin bull market 27:05 - AI news dump: Astra, hacking scares & the AGI debate 35:27 - The Fed's rate decision: three scenarios 42:20 - Bessent, Warsh & Trump's Fed alignment 50:54 - Bitcoin, AI & Space as $2 trillion assets"If we got anything postive on Clarity [Act], I think crypto would go up far faster than people realize." "Bitcoin to $100,000 if we get Clarity? Yes, yes. That type of move to me." @jvisserlabs thinks Clarity Act could send Bitcoin much higher. https://t.co/m5hjYKhOc4View original on X ↗
How this was scored
Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result
- Baseline: first BTC price at or after publication, $77,254 at 13 Sept 2026, 20:00 UTC.
- Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $78,983 at 14 Sept 2026, 20:00 UTC.
r = 78982.77 / 77253.73 − 1 = +2.24%- Direction d = +1 (bullish), so
d × r = +2.24%against a neutral band of ±1.00% → correct
Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology
AI interpretation
Uses only text available at publication time
- Asset
- Bitcoin (BTC)
- Direction
- ▲ Bullish
- Intent
- explicit
- Horizon
- 24 hours (default, none stated)
- Evidence span
- “Bitcoin to $100,000 if we get Clarity? Yes, yes. That type of move to me.”
- Confidence
- 80%
- Review state
- auto accepted
- Model / prompt
- gemini-3.1-flash-lite · prompt-v1
Outcome record
- Status
- correct
- Baseline price
- $77,254
- Evaluation price
- $78,983
- Move
- +2.24%
- Neutral threshold
- ±1.00%
- Price provider
- coinbase
- Evaluated at
- 13 Oct 2026, 06:11 UTC
- Policy version
- v1.0