Prediction evidence
neutralPolicy v1.0Source post
Published 11 Sept 2026, 16:25 UTC · fetched 13 Oct 2026, 05:55 UTC
Michaël van de Poppe
@CryptoMichNL
Let's just sweep the low here on #Bitcoin, shall we? It's looking like the ideal setup where we're likely going to get one of those classic weekend sweeps beneath those lows before we'll pull the highs in again. https://t.co/OQhIbqbVkJView original on X ↗
How this was scored
Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result
- Baseline: first BTC price at or after publication, $77,893 at 11 Sept 2026, 17:00 UTC.
- Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $77,338 at 12 Sept 2026, 17:00 UTC.
r = 77337.96 / 77893.45 − 1 = -0.71%- Direction d = +1 (bullish), so
d × r = -0.71%against a neutral band of ±1.00% → neutral
Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology
AI interpretation
Uses only text available at publication time
- Asset
- Bitcoin (BTC)
- Direction
- ▲ Bullish
- Intent
- inferred
- Horizon
- 24 hours (default, none stated)
- Evidence span
- “It's looking like the ideal setup where we're likely going to get one of those classic weekend sweeps beneath those lows before we'll pull the highs in again.”
- Confidence
- 70%
- Review state
- auto accepted
- Model / prompt
- gemini-3.1-flash-lite · prompt-v1
Outcome record
- Status
- neutral
- Baseline price
- $77,893
- Evaluation price
- $77,338
- Move
- -0.71%
- Neutral threshold
- ±1.00%
- Price provider
- coinbase
- Evaluated at
- 13 Oct 2026, 06:11 UTC
- Policy version
- v1.0
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