Prediction evidence

unscoredPolicy v1.0

Source post

Published 11 Sept 2026, 15:30 UTC · fetched 13 Oct 2026, 05:55 UTC

Michaël van de Poppe

@CryptoMichNL

Quoting · 11 Sept 2026, 14:30 UTC · context given to the AI

The #Crypto and #Bitcoin markets can turn quite quickly. Only during Q2 of this year, markets were still trading around $60,000 in which the sentiment has turned towards the most negative the markets have seen over the past nine years. That's typically the nature of the #Crypto ecosystem as a market and that why it feels hard to grasp. Relying on data is the essence, while navigating these markets. The Power Law Model is a great example. It shows that the markets have been trading beneath the 1% percentile during the period that it was hovering around $60,000. That means: 99% of the time the asset Bitcoin was valued higher than during those trading days. Sure, in hindsight everything is easy, but during those moments the allocations have increased into our base assets as we expect to see an outperformance of strong performing altcoins vs. Bitcoin. The markets are very likely turning into a bullish market sentiment much rather than a continuation of the bearish market.
#Bitcoin has seen a strong move upwards as it's trending away from its cheapest valuation in years. Our fund launched during the hardest times. A full year of bear market. Despite that, we've outperformed #Bitcoin by 20% and we're only down 12% since inception, while many #Altcoins have lost 80% in its value. Would you like to speak with me or my team on the markets and/or the fund? Go to: https://t.co/w1z0rVfJgo and contact us through the contact form.
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How this was scored

Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result

unscored Repeat call within an existing 24h episode

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology

Same 24h episode

Repeated same-asset, same-direction calls count once, anchored to the first eligible post

  • “I'm still having a lot of fun on FOMO, as I think that the next leg is coming in. I'm currently at $8,400. Still 14x after less than two weeks as I started with $600. Currently long $BITCOIN, $CTO, $MONEROCHAN, $PROLOGUE, $BOW. This is going to be fun. Join me here: https://t.co/R1gbDwrRAY”Repeat11 Sept 2026, 08:12 UTC
  • “I continue to mark the lower levels for support on #Bitcoin. It's the $75,500 sweep that matters the most to me. That would bring it down to $74,500 and that's the ideal spot for looking for long entries (and that equals many of the #Altcoin players). https://t.co/X5mmSEH5PI”Repeat11 Sept 2026, 10:51 UTC
  • “Onwards to new highs we go for the markets. Sweep is done for #Bitcoin.”Repeat11 Sept 2026, 12:54 UTC
  • “We've got the sweep of #Bitcoin, and, immediately, the rocket started to go away. Correction is over. We're about to see new highs for this one. https://t.co/VesXHawNlI”Repeat11 Sept 2026, 14:00 UTC

AI interpretation

Uses only text available at publication time

Asset
Bitcoin (BTC)
Direction
▲ Bullish
Intent
explicit
Horizon
24 hours (default, none stated)
Evidence span
“#Bitcoin has seen a strong move upwards”
Confidence
70%
Review state
auto accepted
Model / prompt
gemini-3.1-flash-lite · prompt-v1

Outcome record

Status
unscored
Baseline price
—
Evaluation price
—
Move
—
Neutral threshold
±1.00%
Price provider
—
Evaluated at
13 Oct 2026, 06:11 UTC
Policy version
v1.0

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