Prediction evidence
incorrectPolicy v1.0Source post
Published 11 Sept 2026, 13:23 UTC · fetched 13 Oct 2026, 05:55 UTC
K A L E O
@CryptoKaleo
$ETH looks ready for the next leg up Send it to $3K+ with haste https://t.co/TtA5CH078nView original on X ↗
How this was scored
Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result
- Baseline: first ETH price at or after publication, $2,629 at 11 Sept 2026, 14:00 UTC.
- Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $2,544 at 12 Sept 2026, 14:00 UTC.
r = 2544.01 / 2629 − 1 = -3.23%- Direction d = +1 (bullish), so
d × r = -3.23%against a neutral band of ±1.25% → incorrect
Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology
AI interpretation
Uses only text available at publication time
- Asset
- Ethereum (ETH)
- Direction
- ▲ Bullish
- Intent
- explicit
- Horizon
- 24 hours (default, none stated)
- Evidence span
- “$ETH looks ready for the next leg up”
- Confidence
- 90%
- Review state
- auto accepted
- Model / prompt
- gemini-3.1-flash-lite · prompt-v1
Outcome record
- Status
- incorrect
- Baseline price
- $2,629
- Evaluation price
- $2,544
- Move
- -3.23%
- Neutral threshold
- ±1.25%
- Price provider
- coinbase
- Evaluated at
- 13 Oct 2026, 06:11 UTC
- Policy version
- v1.0