Prediction evidence
correctPolicy v1.0Source post
Published 10 Sept 2026, 17:09 UTC · fetched 13 Oct 2026, 05:55 UTC
Michaël van de Poppe
@CryptoMichNL
Also quite honestly, I don't think $BTC is the biggest runner. Most likely, we'll be seeing more momentum into $ETH. It's holding up strongly (as altcoins are in general). Matter of time until this runs to $3,000+. https://t.co/jf9jEDqNE1View original on X ↗
How this was scored
Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result
- Baseline: first ETH price at or after publication, $2,465 at 10 Sept 2026, 18:00 UTC.
- Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $2,566 at 11 Sept 2026, 18:00 UTC.
r = 2566.14 / 2465.1 − 1 = +4.10%- Direction d = +1 (bullish), so
d × r = +4.10%against a neutral band of ±1.25% → correct
Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology
AI interpretation
Uses only text available at publication time
- Asset
- Ethereum (ETH)
- Direction
- ▲ Bullish
- Intent
- inferred
- Horizon
- 24 hours (default, none stated)
- Evidence span
- “Matter of time until this runs to $3,000+.”
- Confidence
- 80%
- Review state
- auto accepted
- Model / prompt
- gemini-3.1-flash-lite · prompt-v1
Outcome record
- Status
- correct
- Baseline price
- $2,465
- Evaluation price
- $2,566
- Move
- +4.10%
- Neutral threshold
- ±1.25%
- Price provider
- coinbase
- Evaluated at
- 13 Oct 2026, 06:11 UTC
- Policy version
- v1.0