Prediction evidence
unscoredPolicy v1.0Source post
Published 10 Sept 2026, 16:29 UTC · fetched 12 Oct 2026, 06:28 UTC
The Wolf Of All Streets
@scottmelker
Quoting · 10 Sept 2026, 16:00 UTC · context given to the AI
https://t.co/vuokxZ4NbHFed cuts rates, Treasury buys bonds, yields still rise. This is why we buy Bitcoin. "Remember when Jerome Powell cut rates and interest rates went up instead of down? Do you remember when our Treasury Secretary announced the bond buybacks and interest rates went down for a few hours and then they went up? Do you remember today and yesterday when they announced that they would triple the amount of that and bonds interest rates went up?" "This is completely broken and the only thing everybody in politics can agree on is that fixing it is politically unpalatable and unpopular. And that they're just going to make bigger promises of more money, more stimulus, more money printing. This is why we buy Bitcoin."View original on X ↗
How this was scored
Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result
unscored Repeat call within an existing 24h episode
Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology
Same 24h episode
Repeated same-asset, same-direction calls count once, anchored to the first eligible post
- “Bitcoin Has Already Bottomed - And Almost Nobody Sees It | @DTAPCAP Discussing Live @ 9 AM EST https://t.co/9R53G1fgau https://t.co/RLfFhX227p”Repeat11 Sept 2026, 12:30 UTC
- “Bitcoin Has Already Bottomed - And Almost Nobody Sees It | Dan Tapiero https://t.co/yKU22Bs2rN”Repeat11 Sept 2026, 13:00 UTC
- “Dan Tapiero says the dollar-yen top marked the bottom in Bitcoin and gold "I think that was partially the spark. As an old-time macro guy, even though I don't trade in those markets much anymore, can't ever seem to ignore them when I pull up my Bloomberg. If you look at the dollar-yen exchange rate, I think that had more to do with the bottom in Bitcoin." "The Bank of Japan and the US came in to intervene at around 163 or so, 162, and they've continued to intervene, pushing the dollar even lower. Think it's at least 10% now, but it looks to me like it's got another 10% maybe to the downside." "That's the first time in a long time that Japan and the US have done concerted intervention. And Scott Bessent comes out yesterday and says, I am the house. All takers, anybody that wants to take the other side." "It's a great quote from a Treasury Secretary who probably understands dollar-yen better than any Treasury Secretary in the history of the country. Obviously has traded it for over thirty years." "Anybody, any of the civilian population, that wants to fade Scott Bessent as the Treasury Secretary, as he said, I am the house, I know things you don't know, it's true. He's playing on the other side." "The bottom in gold coincided closely with the top in dollar-yen, and also the bottom in Bitcoin."”Repeat11 Sept 2026, 15:28 UTC
AI interpretation
Uses only text available at publication time
- Asset
- Bitcoin (BTC)
- Direction
- ▲ Bullish
- Intent
- explicit
- Horizon
- 24 hours (default, none stated)
- Evidence span
- “This is why we buy Bitcoin.”
- Confidence
- 90%
- Review state
- auto accepted
- Model / prompt
- gemini-3.1-flash-lite · prompt-v1
Outcome record
- Status
- unscored
- Baseline price
- —
- Evaluation price
- —
- Move
- —
- Neutral threshold
- ±1.00%
- Price provider
- —
- Evaluated at
- 13 Oct 2026, 06:11 UTC
- Policy version
- v1.0
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