Prediction evidence
neutralPolicy v1.0Source post
Published 10 Sept 2026, 16:01 UTC · fetched 12 Oct 2026, 06:28 UTC
The Wolf Of All Streets
@scottmelker
Quoting · 10 Sept 2026, 13:00 UTC · context given to the AI
Bitcoin DROPS As Treasury’s $6 BILLION Bond Rescue BACKFIRES | Matt Cole https://t.co/jcl2K4y36YStrive CEO Matt Cole says they 4x'd their Bitcoin holdings despite a bear market "We have over 24,000 Bitcoin now. In two days we'll have been public for one year. We started with just over 5,000 Bitcoin, so we've more than 4x'd our Bitcoin in a Bitcoin bear market. Obviously a tough environment for companies trying to amplify Bitcoin exposure." "Since the October crash, I think we're the only DAT that's outperformed the underlying asset. B. Riley came out with a release on that. So the performance of Strive today has been strong." "It's been a bear market, and we're playing for Bitcoin to go to millions. Ultimately infinity, because fiat currencies are worthless." "I'm looking forward to seeing how the engine we've built performs in a bull market, and I'm pretty constructive that we might be there."View original on X ↗
How this was scored
Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result
- Baseline: first BTC price at or after publication, $77,160 at 10 Sept 2026, 17:00 UTC.
- Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $77,893 at 11 Sept 2026, 17:00 UTC.
r = 77893.45 / 77160.21 − 1 = +0.95%- Direction d = +1 (bullish), so
d × r = +0.95%against a neutral band of ±1.00% → neutral
Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology
AI interpretation
Uses only text available at publication time
- Asset
- Bitcoin (BTC)
- Direction
- ▲ Bullish
- Intent
- explicit
- Horizon
- 24 hours (default, none stated)
- Evidence span
- “It's been a bear market, and we're playing for Bitcoin to go to millions.”
- Confidence
- 90%
- Review state
- auto accepted
- Model / prompt
- gemini-3.1-flash-lite · prompt-v1
Outcome record
- Status
- neutral
- Baseline price
- $77,160
- Evaluation price
- $77,893
- Move
- +0.95%
- Neutral threshold
- ±1.00%
- Price provider
- coinbase
- Evaluated at
- 13 Oct 2026, 06:11 UTC
- Policy version
- v1.0