Prediction evidence
neutralPolicy v1.0Source post
Published 10 Sept 2026, 08:57 UTC · fetched 13 Oct 2026, 05:55 UTC
il Capo
@CryptoCapo_
Quoting · 25 Aug 2026, 16:43 UTC · context given to the AI
$BTC LTF view After this strong bullish move, I can see a short-term local top forming around 80k. Eyes on 74k-75k and 69k-70k as potential local bottoms. Alts could retrace 10%-20%. Then bullish continuation. PS: I'm not selling, just ready to buy more if that happens.Same idea for the short-term. A strong shakeout is likely, especially for alts. https://t.co/HeTsHMLQCUView original on X ↗
How this was scored
Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result
- Baseline: first BTC price at or after publication, $78,085 at 10 Sept 2026, 09:00 UTC.
- Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $77,337 at 11 Sept 2026, 09:00 UTC.
r = 77337.07 / 78085.45 − 1 = -0.96%- Direction d = −1 (bearish), so
d × r = +0.96%against a neutral band of ±1.00% → neutral
Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology
AI interpretation
Uses only text available at publication time
- Asset
- Bitcoin (BTC)
- Direction
- ▼ Bearish
- Intent
- inferred
- Horizon
- 24 hours (default, none stated)
- Evidence span
- “A strong shakeout is likely”
- Confidence
- 70%
- Review state
- auto accepted
- Model / prompt
- gemini-3.1-flash-lite · prompt-v1
Outcome record
- Status
- neutral
- Baseline price
- $78,085
- Evaluation price
- $77,337
- Move
- -0.96%
- Neutral threshold
- ±1.00%
- Price provider
- coinbase
- Evaluated at
- 13 Oct 2026, 06:11 UTC
- Policy version
- v1.0