Prediction evidence

unscoredPolicy v1.0

Source post

Published 10 Sept 2026, 08:45 UTC · fetched 13 Oct 2026, 05:55 UTC

Michaël van de Poppe

@CryptoMichNL

The support looks heavy on #Bitcoin. I don't think that we'll hold and I do think that we'll see a sweep going lower. Given that there are multiple wicks that it will take it, this can become a nasty one. I'm starting to show interest at $76,000, but mostly at $74,750. If this scenario doesn't happen, I'm not interested until price starts to reclaim the $78,700 area.

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How this was scored

Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result

unscored Repeat call within an existing 24h episode

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology

Same 24h episode

Repeated same-asset, same-direction calls count once, anchored to the first eligible post

“There we go. Markets are falling down for #Bitcoin. #Altcoins are holding up quite nicely, so that's great. Two scenarios that I'm looking at. 1 (Main) - This continues to fall down and we're testing that $74,000 area for support and that's where we finalize this correction. 2 - It's ending here and reclaim $78,000 would seal the deal. Nothing else. No trade zone for me now.”Repeat10 Sept 2026, 14:00 UTC

AI interpretation

Uses only text available at publication time

Asset: Bitcoin (BTC)
Direction: ▼ Bearish
Intent: inferred
Horizon: 24 hours (default, none stated)
Evidence span: “I don't think that we'll hold and I do think that we'll see a sweep going lower.”
Confidence: 80%
Review state: auto accepted
Model / prompt: gemini-3.1-flash-lite · prompt-v1

Outcome record

Status: unscored
Baseline price: —
Evaluation price: —
Move: —
Neutral threshold: ±1.00%
Price provider: —
Evaluated at: 13 Oct 2026, 06:11 UTC
Policy version: v1.0

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