Prediction evidence

unscoredPolicy v1.0

Source post

Published 9 Sept 2026, 14:01 UTC · fetched 13 Oct 2026, 05:55 UTC

Michaël van de Poppe

@CryptoMichNL

Polymarket perps is live! This means that you can now trade Crypto, equities, commodities and indices alongside prediction markets in one single app. The perps are available with up to 20x leverage on bitcoin:native, $ETH and others. This is ideal timing, as markets are heating up for a bull market right now, and the UX is so smooth that literally everyone is able to trade on here. Join today: https://t.co/yXgVrBkrRb
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How this was scored

Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result

unscored Repeat call within an existing 24h episode

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology

AI interpretation

Uses only text available at publication time

Asset
Ethereum (ETH)
Direction
▲ Bullish
Intent
inferred
Horizon
24 hours (default, none stated)
Evidence span
“markets are heating up for a bull market right now”
Confidence
80%
Review state
auto accepted
Model / prompt
gemini-3.1-flash-lite · prompt-v1

Outcome record

Status
unscored
Baseline price
—
Evaluation price
—
Move
—
Neutral threshold
±1.25%
Price provider
—
Evaluated at
13 Oct 2026, 06:11 UTC
Policy version
v1.0

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