Prediction evidence

unscoredPolicy v1.0

Source post

Published 9 Sept 2026, 11:14 UTC · fetched 13 Oct 2026, 05:55 UTC

Michaël van de Poppe

@CryptoMichNL

Quoting · 4 Sept 2026, 11:49 UTC · context given to the AI

Bitcoin 21-day EMA crossed above its 200-day EMA Previous signals since 2020: 6-month median: +28.4% 1-year median: +82.8% 6-month win rate: 90% But please keep waiting for lower https://t.co/zdStHMK08h

The actual returns we're getting when this happens on #Bitcoin are phenomenal. I wouldn't be surprised to see a new ATH of #Bitcoin in Q1 of 2027. https://t.co/2h5zNRubNl

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How this was scored

Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result

unscored Awaiting manual review

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology

AI interpretation

Uses only text available at publication time

Asset: Bitcoin (BTC)
Direction: ▲ Bullish
Intent: explicit
Horizon: 24 hours (default, none stated)
Evidence span: “I wouldn't be surprised to see a new ATH of #Bitcoin in Q1 of 2027.”
Confidence: 70%
Review state: needs review · Unsupported horizon: "Q1 of 2027"
Model / prompt: gemini-3.1-flash-lite · prompt-v1

Outcome record

Status: unscored
Baseline price: —
Evaluation price: —
Move: —
Neutral threshold: ±1.00%
Price provider: —
Evaluated at: 13 Oct 2026, 06:11 UTC
Policy version: v1.0

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