Prediction evidence
incorrectPolicy v1.0Source post
Published 7 Sept 2026, 12:18 UTC · fetched 13 Oct 2026, 05:55 UTC
Michaël van de Poppe
@CryptoMichNL
I don't think $SUI will be stalling and that's primarily due to the fact that I'm monitoring the Bitcoin pair. There's a massive bullish divergence slowly picking up momentum, meaning that there's still a mean reversion play to come. That could push the Bitcoin pair of SUI up another 50-60%.View original on X ↗
How this was scored
Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result
- Baseline: first BTC price at or after publication, $79,598 at 7 Sept 2026, 13:00 UTC.
- Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $78,422 at 8 Sept 2026, 13:00 UTC.
r = 78422.25 / 79597.75 − 1 = -1.48%- Direction d = +1 (bullish), so
d × r = -1.48%against a neutral band of ±1.00% → incorrect
Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology
AI interpretation
Uses only text available at publication time
- Asset
- Bitcoin (BTC)
- Direction
- ▲ Bullish
- Intent
- inferred
- Horizon
- 24 hours (default, none stated)
- Evidence span
- “There's a massive bullish divergence slowly picking up momentum, meaning that there's still a mean reversion play to come.”
- Confidence
- 80%
- Review state
- auto accepted
- Model / prompt
- gemini-3.1-flash-lite · prompt-v1
Outcome record
- Status
- incorrect
- Baseline price
- $79,598
- Evaluation price
- $78,422
- Move
- -1.48%
- Neutral threshold
- ±1.00%
- Price provider
- coinbase
- Evaluated at
- 13 Oct 2026, 06:11 UTC
- Policy version
- v1.0