Prediction evidence

neutralPolicy v1.0

Source post

Published 6 Sept 2026, 09:25 UTC · fetched 13 Oct 2026, 05:55 UTC

Michaël van de Poppe

@CryptoMichNL

$NEAR is just getting started and the reason that I'm saying this is due to the fact that I'm looking at the Bitcoin pair. It's doing great, and broke out upwards. That would mean that there's still a leg to come. https://t.co/D41Oavt1SQ
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How this was scored

Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result

  1. Baseline: first BTC price at or after publication, $79,890 at 6 Sept 2026, 10:00 UTC.
  2. Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $79,301 at 7 Sept 2026, 10:00 UTC.
  3. r = 79301.32 / 79890.48 − 1 = -0.74%
  4. Direction d = +1 (bullish), so d × r = -0.74% against a neutral band of ±1.00% → neutral

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology

AI interpretation

Uses only text available at publication time

Asset
Bitcoin (BTC)
Direction
▲ Bullish
Intent
inferred
Horizon
24 hours (default, none stated)
Evidence span
“That would mean that there's still a leg to come.”
Confidence
80%
Review state
auto accepted
Model / prompt
gemini-3.1-flash-lite · prompt-v1

Outcome record

Status
neutral
Baseline price
$79,890
Evaluation price
$79,301
Move
-0.74%
Neutral threshold
±1.00%
Price provider
coinbase
Evaluated at
13 Oct 2026, 06:11 UTC
Policy version
v1.0

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