Prediction evidence
unscoredPolicy v1.0Source post
Published 5 Sept 2026, 15:55 UTC · fetched 13 Oct 2026, 05:56 UTC
K A L E O
@CryptoKaleo
Quoting · 5 Sept 2026, 15:50 UTC · context given to the AI
BREAKING: 50% chance Bitcoin hits $85,000 within the next month https://t.co/sSAtIhi6ro#Bitcoin / $BTC Honestly with the way this is playing out so far I think there’s a greater than 50% chance BTC hits $85K within the next week and $100K+ by the end of the month. https://t.co/hozPZ8RhP5 https://t.co/kJEb7gX4PzView original on X ↗
How this was scored
Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result
unscored Repeat call within an existing 24h episode
Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology
AI interpretation
Uses only text available at publication time
- Asset
- Bitcoin (BTC)
- Direction
- ▲ Bullish
- Intent
- explicit
- Horizon
- 7 days (stated in post)
- Evidence span
- “I think there’s a greater than 50% chance BTC hits $85K within the next week”
- Confidence
- 80%
- Review state
- auto accepted
- Model / prompt
- gemini-3.1-flash-lite · prompt-v1
Outcome record
- Status
- unscored
- Baseline price
- —
- Evaluation price
- —
- Move
- —
- Neutral threshold
- ±2.50%
- Price provider
- —
- Evaluated at
- 13 Oct 2026, 06:11 UTC
- Policy version
- v1.0