Prediction evidence
unscoredPolicy v1.0Source post
Published 4 Sept 2026, 18:40 UTC · fetched 12 Oct 2026, 06:29 UTC
The Wolf Of All Streets
@scottmelker
The Weekly Wreckoning in 7 minutes: 0:00 Strategy buys 4,603 BTC, net leverage to zero 1:10 Sold near the bottom, buying machine back on 2:06 Japan's 30-year yield hits 3%, bond crisis goes global 2:48 Bessent intervenes, the bond market doesn't buy it 3:14 Bitcoin ignores the macro as an uncorrelated asset 3:28 Hyperliquid seeks a US foothold through Kraken 4:00 Kraken delays its IPO again 4:54 Citi, Goldman and 21 banks team up on a stablecoin 5:45 Three stablecoin blocs forming at once 6:18 Bitcoin's golden cross is coming 6:38 USDT dominance drops, speculators are back 6:54 New Jersey takes prediction markets to the Supreme CourtView original on X ↗
How this was scored
Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result
unscored Awaiting manual review
Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology
AI interpretation
Uses only text available at publication time
- Asset
- Bitcoin (BTC)
- Direction
- ▲ Bullish
- Intent
- inferred
- Horizon
- 24 hours (default, none stated)
- Evidence span
- “Bitcoin's golden cross is coming”
- Confidence
- 70%
- Review state
- needs review · Low confidence (70%)
- Model / prompt
- gemini-3.1-flash-lite · prompt-v1
Outcome record
- Status
- unscored
- Baseline price
- —
- Evaluation price
- —
- Move
- —
- Neutral threshold
- ±1.00%
- Price provider
- —
- Evaluated at
- 13 Oct 2026, 06:11 UTC
- Policy version
- v1.0
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