Prediction evidence
unscoredPolicy v1.0Source post
Published 3 Sept 2026, 19:25 UTC · fetched 13 Oct 2026, 05:55 UTC
Michaël van de Poppe
@CryptoMichNL
The big question that needs to be answered from here is whether or not we'll be having a regular cycle from here or a shorter version. It could theoretically be that #Bitcoin had a mid-cycle correction and we're about to enter a 2016-2017 type of rally, with a peak earlier than the regular 4-year cycle top. In all honesty, if the markets continue to go in a 4-year cycle and the markets are already taking of like they are right now, this cycle is going to be so much fun.View original on X ↗
How this was scored
Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result
unscored Repeat call within an existing 24h episode
Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology
Same 24h episode
Repeated same-asset, same-direction calls count once, anchored to the first eligible post
- “The #Bitcoin bottom is in. https://t.co/zgLfdzMOsb”Repeat3 Sept 2026, 16:57 UTC
- “#Bitcoin has hit the $76,200 area and ran immediately towards the highs. I don't think we'll correct heavily or whatsoever. Quite honestly, markets should be stalling here, and there's a sweep of $82,700 on the horizon after which the big question becomes: Will this trend continue to $90,000 or will we stop here and consolidate for the coming months? Overall, this is a bull market rally.”Repeat4 Sept 2026, 08:34 UTC
AI interpretation
Uses only text available at publication time
- Asset
- Bitcoin (BTC)
- Direction
- ▲ Bullish
- Intent
- inferred
- Horizon
- 24 hours (default, none stated)
- Evidence span
- “this cycle is going to be so much fun.”
- Confidence
- 70%
- Review state
- auto accepted
- Model / prompt
- gemini-3.1-flash-lite · prompt-v1
Outcome record
- Status
- unscored
- Baseline price
- —
- Evaluation price
- —
- Move
- —
- Neutral threshold
- ±1.00%
- Price provider
- —
- Evaluated at
- 13 Oct 2026, 06:11 UTC
- Policy version
- v1.0
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