Prediction evidence

unscoredPolicy v1.0

Source post

Published 3 Sept 2026, 14:06 UTC · fetched 13 Oct 2026, 05:56 UTC

K A L E O

@CryptoKaleo

Quoting · 3 Sept 2026, 14:00 UTC · context given to the AI

BREAKING: 20% chance Bitcoin drops to $50,000 before $100,000 https://t.co/9tRYktK4Ft
They’re selling $1.00 for $0.80 https://t.co/01PZv6AK2D
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How this was scored

Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result

unscored Repeat call within an existing 24h episode

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology

Same 24h episode

Repeated same-asset, same-direction calls count once, anchored to the first eligible post

  • “Bitcoin looks like it's about to rip. Be more bullish.”Repeat3 Sept 2026, 13:08 UTC
  • “#Bitcoin / bitcoin:native What if Bitcoin is just running back the 2023-2024 playbook on a bigger scale and sends straight to $1M+ from here? https://t.co/WAO9rVCtWz https://t.co/BgoyDbhrUH”Repeat3 Sept 2026, 13:14 UTC
  • “#Bitcoin / bitcoin:native zoomed in a bit for ya just saying fellas - it's looking pretty, pretty good so far you can countertrade me on kalshi perps ➡️ https://t.co/8O9rYuaiGf https://t.co/ZwtCihCYyW”Repeat3 Sept 2026, 13:17 UTC
  • “ONE MILLION DOLLARS PER BITCOIN IS A MAGNET https://t.co/jKQBMRz9hr https://t.co/FkjUjvm9lW”Repeat3 Sept 2026, 15:29 UTC

AI interpretation

Uses only text available at publication time

Asset
Bitcoin (BTC)
Direction
▲ Bullish
Intent
inferred
Horizon
24 hours (default, none stated)
Evidence span
“They’re selling $1.00 for $0.80”
Confidence
70%
Review state
auto accepted
Model / prompt
gemini-3.1-flash-lite · prompt-v1

Outcome record

Status
unscored
Baseline price
—
Evaluation price
—
Move
—
Neutral threshold
±1.00%
Price provider
—
Evaluated at
13 Oct 2026, 06:11 UTC
Policy version
v1.0

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