Prediction evidence
incorrectPolicy v1.0Source post
Published 2 Sept 2026, 17:39 UTC · fetched 13 Oct 2026, 05:56 UTC
How this was scored
Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result
- Baseline: first SOL price at or after publication, $99.29 at 2 Sept 2026, 18:00 UTC.
- Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $105.10 at 3 Sept 2026, 18:00 UTC.
r = 105.1 / 99.29 − 1 = +5.85%- Direction d = −1 (bearish), so
d × r = -5.85%against a neutral band of ±1.50% → incorrect
Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology
AI interpretation
Uses only text available at publication time
- Asset
- Solana (SOL)
- Direction
- ▼ Bearish
- Intent
- inferred
- Horizon
- 24 hours (default, none stated)
- Evidence span
- “If you're in Solana, rotate to Robinhood Chain.”
- Confidence
- 80%
- Review state
- auto accepted
- Model / prompt
- gemini-3.1-flash-lite · prompt-v1
Outcome record
- Status
- incorrect
- Baseline price
- $99.29
- Evaluation price
- $105.10
- Move
- +5.85%
- Neutral threshold
- ±1.50%
- Price provider
- coinbase
- Evaluated at
- 13 Oct 2026, 06:11 UTC
- Policy version
- v1.0