Prediction evidence

unscoredPolicy v1.0

Source post

Published 2 Sept 2026, 15:42 UTC · fetched 12 Oct 2026, 06:29 UTC

The Wolf Of All Streets

@scottmelker

Quoting · 2 Sept 2026, 13:00 UTC · context given to the AI

Why This Bitcoin Dip Is Actually Bullish | Mike Alfred https://t.co/ADVugpU1PH
"In 2020, we had a 70% decline from the high, but nobody ever calls that a bear market" Mike Alfred compares Strait of Hormuz with Covid and says we'll be back to ATHs by 2027 "Basically the Strait of Hormuz is the virus this time; it caused a compression in Bitcoin where otherwise there wouldn't have been much going on." Just like in 2020, we had a 70% decline from the high, but nobody ever calls that a bear market. They're like, 'oh, that was just COVID, we're just going to hand-wave that away, it didn't happen.' It's totally disingenuous." "Mid-cycle, just before Bitcoin ripped from the 45,000 area where it bottomed, by 2021 it was in the sixties. People forget that that happened very quickly." "My suspicion is that by 2027 we should be back at all-time highs again."
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How this was scored

Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result

unscored Awaiting manual review

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology

AI interpretation

Uses only text available at publication time

Asset
Bitcoin (BTC)
Direction
▲ Bullish
Intent
explicit
Horizon
24 hours (default, none stated)
Evidence span
“My suspicion is that by 2027 we should be back at all-time highs again.”
Confidence
80%
Review state
needs review · Unsupported horizon: "by 2027"
Model / prompt
gemini-3.1-flash-lite · prompt-v1

Outcome record

Status
unscored
Baseline price
—
Evaluation price
—
Move
—
Neutral threshold
±1.00%
Price provider
—
Evaluated at
13 Oct 2026, 06:11 UTC
Policy version
v1.0

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