Prediction evidence
unscoredPolicy v1.0Source post
Published 2 Sept 2026, 15:42 UTC · fetched 12 Oct 2026, 06:29 UTC
The Wolf Of All Streets
@scottmelker
Quoting · 2 Sept 2026, 13:00 UTC · context given to the AI
Why This Bitcoin Dip Is Actually Bullish | Mike Alfred https://t.co/ADVugpU1PH"In 2020, we had a 70% decline from the high, but nobody ever calls that a bear market" Mike Alfred compares Strait of Hormuz with Covid and says we'll be back to ATHs by 2027 "Basically the Strait of Hormuz is the virus this time; it caused a compression in Bitcoin where otherwise there wouldn't have been much going on." Just like in 2020, we had a 70% decline from the high, but nobody ever calls that a bear market. They're like, 'oh, that was just COVID, we're just going to hand-wave that away, it didn't happen.' It's totally disingenuous." "Mid-cycle, just before Bitcoin ripped from the 45,000 area where it bottomed, by 2021 it was in the sixties. People forget that that happened very quickly." "My suspicion is that by 2027 we should be back at all-time highs again."View original on X ↗
How this was scored
Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result
unscored Awaiting manual review
Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology
AI interpretation
Uses only text available at publication time
- Asset
- Bitcoin (BTC)
- Direction
- ▲ Bullish
- Intent
- explicit
- Horizon
- 24 hours (default, none stated)
- Evidence span
- “My suspicion is that by 2027 we should be back at all-time highs again.”
- Confidence
- 80%
- Review state
- needs review · Unsupported horizon: "by 2027"
- Model / prompt
- gemini-3.1-flash-lite · prompt-v1
Outcome record
- Status
- unscored
- Baseline price
- —
- Evaluation price
- —
- Move
- —
- Neutral threshold
- ±1.00%
- Price provider
- —
- Evaluated at
- 13 Oct 2026, 06:11 UTC
- Policy version
- v1.0
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