Prediction evidence
correctPolicy v1.0Source post
Published 2 Sept 2026, 14:24 UTC · fetched 13 Oct 2026, 05:56 UTC
K A L E O
@CryptoKaleo
Quoting · 2 Sept 2026, 13:29 UTC · context given to the AI
$PONS added to Robinhood assetsethereum:0x07f5b6823751c2e2cd4560f28af75ff887102241 was officially listed on the Robinhood App today hmm Thinking it's only a matter of time before the ecosystem cat is listed with it 🤔🐈 be more bullish https://t.co/I0Fe4wPu8zView original on X ↗
How this was scored
Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result
- Baseline: first ETH price at or after publication, $2,393 at 2 Sept 2026, 15:00 UTC.
- Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $2,489 at 3 Sept 2026, 15:00 UTC.
r = 2489.1 / 2393.29 − 1 = +4.00%- Direction d = +1 (bullish), so
d × r = +4.00%against a neutral band of ±1.25% → correct
Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology
AI interpretation
Uses only text available at publication time
- Asset
- Ethereum (ETH)
- Direction
- ▲ Bullish
- Intent
- inferred
- Horizon
- 24 hours (default, none stated)
- Evidence span
- “Thinking it's only a matter of time before the ecosystem cat is listed with it”
- Confidence
- 70%
- Review state
- auto accepted
- Model / prompt
- gemini-3.1-flash-lite · prompt-v1
Outcome record
- Status
- correct
- Baseline price
- $2,393
- Evaluation price
- $2,489
- Move
- +4.00%
- Neutral threshold
- ±1.25%
- Price provider
- coinbase
- Evaluated at
- 13 Oct 2026, 06:11 UTC
- Policy version
- v1.0