Prediction evidence
unscoredPolicy v1.0Source post
Published 2 Sept 2026, 14:22 UTC · fetched 12 Oct 2026, 06:29 UTC
The Wolf Of All Streets
@scottmelker
Quoting · 2 Sept 2026, 13:00 UTC · context given to the AI
Why This Bitcoin Dip Is Actually Bullish | Mike Alfred https://t.co/ADVugpU1PHMike Alfred says the doomers were wrong and there was no four-year cycle bear market "The four-year cycle doomers who predicted that Bitcoin would fall all the way into October, it looks like they've already been wrong." "Bitcoin is 76K right now, with yields as high as they are, with oil, with the election cycle and everything that's going on, I would call that a win." "It's pretty clear now that there was no four-year cycle bear market. We did not get an 85% decline. We got a little over 50%. A mid bull market decline rather than a bear market." "I consider it a mid cycle correction, and I've considered this a mid cycle correction the entire time, all the way back before February even."View original on X ↗
How this was scored
Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result
unscored Awaiting manual review
Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology
AI interpretation
Uses only text available at publication time
- Asset
- Bitcoin (BTC)
- Direction
- ▲ Bullish
- Intent
- inferred
- Horizon
- 24 hours (default, none stated)
- Evidence span
- “Mike Alfred says the doomers were wrong and there was no four-year cycle bear market "The four-year cycle doomers who predicted that Bitcoin would fall all the way into October, it looks like they've already been wrong." "Bitcoin is 76K right now, with yields as high as they are, with oil, with the election cycle and everything that's going on, I would call that a win." "It's pretty clear now that there was no four-year cycle bear market. We did not get an 85% decline. We got a little over 50%. A mid bull market decline rather than a bear market." "I consider it a mid cycle correction, and I've considered this a mid cycle correction the entire time, all the way back before February even."”
- Confidence
- 80%
- Review state
- needs review · Evidence not found in post
- Model / prompt
- gemini-3.1-flash-lite · prompt-v1
Outcome record
- Status
- unscored
- Baseline price
- —
- Evaluation price
- —
- Move
- —
- Neutral threshold
- ±1.00%
- Price provider
- —
- Evaluated at
- 13 Oct 2026, 06:11 UTC
- Policy version
- v1.0
Request a correction
Think the interpretation or outcome is wrong? Sign in with X to request a correction, so reviewers know who is asking.
Sign in to request a correction