Prediction evidence

unscoredPolicy v1.0

Source post

Published 2 Sept 2026, 14:22 UTC · fetched 12 Oct 2026, 06:29 UTC

The Wolf Of All Streets

@scottmelker

Quoting · 2 Sept 2026, 13:00 UTC · context given to the AI

Why This Bitcoin Dip Is Actually Bullish | Mike Alfred https://t.co/ADVugpU1PH
Mike Alfred says the doomers were wrong and there was no four-year cycle bear market "The four-year cycle doomers who predicted that Bitcoin would fall all the way into October, it looks like they've already been wrong." "Bitcoin is 76K right now, with yields as high as they are, with oil, with the election cycle and everything that's going on, I would call that a win." "It's pretty clear now that there was no four-year cycle bear market. We did not get an 85% decline. We got a little over 50%. A mid bull market decline rather than a bear market." "I consider it a mid cycle correction, and I've considered this a mid cycle correction the entire time, all the way back before February even."
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How this was scored

Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result

unscored Awaiting manual review

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology

AI interpretation

Uses only text available at publication time

Asset
Bitcoin (BTC)
Direction
▲ Bullish
Intent
inferred
Horizon
24 hours (default, none stated)
Evidence span
“Mike Alfred says the doomers were wrong and there was no four-year cycle bear market "The four-year cycle doomers who predicted that Bitcoin would fall all the way into October, it looks like they've already been wrong." "Bitcoin is 76K right now, with yields as high as they are, with oil, with the election cycle and everything that's going on, I would call that a win." "It's pretty clear now that there was no four-year cycle bear market. We did not get an 85% decline. We got a little over 50%. A mid bull market decline rather than a bear market." "I consider it a mid cycle correction, and I've considered this a mid cycle correction the entire time, all the way back before February even."”
Confidence
80%
Review state
needs review · Evidence not found in post
Model / prompt
gemini-3.1-flash-lite · prompt-v1

Outcome record

Status
unscored
Baseline price
—
Evaluation price
—
Move
—
Neutral threshold
±1.00%
Price provider
—
Evaluated at
13 Oct 2026, 06:11 UTC
Policy version
v1.0

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