Prediction evidence
unscoredPolicy v1.0Source post
Published 1 Sept 2026, 14:54 UTC · fetched 12 Oct 2026, 06:29 UTC
The Wolf Of All Streets
@scottmelker
Quoting · 1 Sept 2026, 13:01 UTC · context given to the AI
Bitcoin’s $100 BILLION Wall Street TAKEOVER Is Just Getting Started | Eric Balchunas https://t.co/rQxShcpgf1Bitcoin is holding 78 despite Japan at 3%, oil spiking, and US yields climbing "Bitcoin's resilience here has been somewhat impressive to me. It's hard to say it's been correlated to other assets over the past few weeks. It kind of had its own big move and it's stuck here around 78, which I find extremely impressive in the face of all those things." "Japan's benchmark bond yield rises to 3% for the first time in 30 years. Oil prices rise as renewed US Iran fighting deepens Hormuz supply risk. And if anybody's taken a quick look at United States bond yields, that whole percent trying to calm the market thing, I don't believe him." "This is all the macro bad news that's supposed to be bad for Bitcoin, and it's hanging in there." "We've been in this space for a long time. I expected Bitcoin to pull back to 72, maybe somewhere in that. It may, but it hasn't. That's the bid associated with ETFs."View original on X ↗
How this was scored
Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result
unscored Awaiting manual review
Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology
AI interpretation
Uses only text available at publication time
- Asset
- Bitcoin (BTC)
- Direction
- ▲ Bullish
- Intent
- inferred
- Horizon
- 24 hours (default, none stated)
- Evidence span
- “Bitcoin is holding 78 despite Japan at 3%, oil spiking, and US yields climbing "Bitcoin's resilience here has been somewhat impressive to me. It's hard to say it's been correlated to other assets over the past few weeks. It kind of had its own big move and it's stuck here around 78, which I find extremely impressive in the face of all those things." "Japan's benchmark bond yield rises to 3% for the first time in 30 years. Oil prices rise as renewed US Iran fighting deepens Hormuz supply risk. And if anybody's taken a quick look at United States bond yields, that whole percent trying to calm the market thing, I don't believe him." "This is all the macro bad news that's supposed to be bad for Bitcoin, and it's hanging in there." "We've been in this space for a long time. I expected Bitcoin to pull back to 72, maybe somewhere in that. It may, but it hasn't. That's the bid associated with ETFs."”
- Confidence
- 70%
- Review state
- needs review · Low confidence (70%); Evidence not found in post
- Model / prompt
- gemini-3.1-flash-lite · prompt-v1
Outcome record
- Status
- unscored
- Baseline price
- —
- Evaluation price
- —
- Move
- —
- Neutral threshold
- ±1.00%
- Price provider
- —
- Evaluated at
- 13 Oct 2026, 06:11 UTC
- Policy version
- v1.0
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