Prediction evidence
incorrectPolicy v1.0Source post
Published 1 Sept 2026, 00:40 UTC · fetched 12 Oct 2026, 06:16 UTC
Altcoin Daily
@AltcoinDaily
Right Before Crypto Goes Parabolic, Ethereum Always Does This TimeStamps: 00:00 intro 00:10 crypto inflows 02:12 Most Important Chart In #Crypto To Watch 04:46 Jason: $TAO is your 10-100x Lotto Ticket? 06:31 Bill Gates: "I wouldn't choose crypto" 07:50 This is a magical time to invest $SOLView original on X ↗
How this was scored
Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result
- Baseline: first SOL price at or after publication, $103.16 at 1 Sept 2026, 01:00 UTC.
- Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $99.60 at 2 Sept 2026, 01:00 UTC.
r = 99.6 / 103.16 − 1 = -3.45%- Direction d = +1 (bullish), so
d × r = -3.45%against a neutral band of ±1.50% → incorrect
Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology
AI interpretation
Uses only text available at publication time
- Asset
- Solana (SOL)
- Direction
- ▲ Bullish
- Intent
- explicit
- Horizon
- 24 hours (default, none stated)
- Evidence span
- “This is a magical time to invest $SOL”
- Confidence
- 90%
- Review state
- auto accepted
- Model / prompt
- gemini-3.1-flash-lite · prompt-v1
Outcome record
- Status
- incorrect
- Baseline price
- $103.16
- Evaluation price
- $99.60
- Move
- -3.45%
- Neutral threshold
- ±1.50%
- Price provider
- coinbase
- Evaluated at
- 13 Oct 2026, 06:11 UTC
- Policy version
- v1.0