Prediction evidence
correctPolicy v1.0Source post
Published 31 Aug 2026, 07:07 UTC · fetched 12 Oct 2026, 06:23 UTC
Ash Crypto
@AshCrypto
Every time $ETH broke above this level, it went on a massive run. https://t.co/0s0e62Pz34View original on X ↗
How this was scored
Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result
- Baseline: first ETH price at or after publication, $2,440 at 31 Aug 2026, 08:00 UTC.
- Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $2,472 at 1 Sept 2026, 08:00 UTC.
r = 2472.04 / 2440.33 − 1 = +1.30%- Direction d = +1 (bullish), so
d × r = +1.30%against a neutral band of ±1.25% → correct
Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology
AI interpretation
Uses only text available at publication time
- Asset
- Ethereum (ETH)
- Direction
- ▲ Bullish
- Intent
- inferred
- Horizon
- 24 hours (default, none stated)
- Evidence span
- “Every time $ETH broke above this level, it went on a massive run.”
- Confidence
- 80%
- Review state
- auto accepted
- Model / prompt
- gemini-3.1-flash-lite · prompt-v1
Outcome record
- Status
- correct
- Baseline price
- $2,440
- Evaluation price
- $2,472
- Move
- +1.30%
- Neutral threshold
- ±1.25%
- Price provider
- coinbase
- Evaluated at
- 13 Oct 2026, 06:11 UTC
- Policy version
- v1.0