Prediction evidence
incorrectPolicy v1.0Source post
Published 29 Aug 2026, 23:25 UTC · fetched 13 Oct 2026, 05:55 UTC
Ansem 🐂🀄️
@blknoiz06
In reply to · 29 Aug 2026, 21:38 UTC · context given to the AI
if btc goes to 83-84k this next pump what is sol going to@snazzors 150View original on X ↗
How this was scored
Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result
- Baseline: first SOL price at or after publication, $105.62 at 30 Aug 2026, 00:00 UTC.
- Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $101.75 at 31 Aug 2026, 00:00 UTC.
r = 101.75 / 105.62 − 1 = -3.66%- Direction d = +1 (bullish), so
d × r = -3.66%against a neutral band of ±1.50% → incorrect
Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology
AI interpretation
Uses only text available at publication time
- Asset
- Solana (SOL)
- Direction
- ▲ Bullish
- Intent
- explicit
- Horizon
- 24 hours (default, none stated)
- Evidence span
- “150”
- Confidence
- 80%
- Review state
- auto accepted
- Model / prompt
- gemini-3.1-flash-lite · prompt-v1
Outcome record
- Status
- incorrect
- Baseline price
- $105.62
- Evaluation price
- $101.75
- Move
- -3.66%
- Neutral threshold
- ±1.50%
- Price provider
- coinbase
- Evaluated at
- 13 Oct 2026, 06:11 UTC
- Policy version
- v1.0