Prediction evidence
neutralPolicy v1.0Source post
Published 28 Aug 2026, 23:44 UTC · fetched 13 Oct 2026, 05:56 UTC
Wendy O
@CryptoWendyO
Excited to announce I don’t care that Bitcoin and Crypto dipped and we are going so much HIGHER https://t.co/ygF300MYvGView original on X ↗
How this was scored
Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result
- Baseline: first BTC price at or after publication, $77,839 at 29 Aug 2026, 00:00 UTC.
- Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $78,234 at 30 Aug 2026, 00:00 UTC.
r = 78233.92 / 77839.19 − 1 = +0.51%- Direction d = +1 (bullish), so
d × r = +0.51%against a neutral band of ±1.00% → neutral
Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology
AI interpretation
Uses only text available at publication time
- Asset
- Bitcoin (BTC)
- Direction
- ▲ Bullish
- Intent
- explicit
- Horizon
- 24 hours (default, none stated)
- Evidence span
- “Excited to announce I don’t care that Bitcoin and Crypto dipped and we are going so much HIGHER”
- Confidence
- 90%
- Review state
- auto accepted
- Model / prompt
- gemini-3.1-flash-lite · prompt-v1
Outcome record
- Status
- neutral
- Baseline price
- $77,839
- Evaluation price
- $78,234
- Move
- +0.51%
- Neutral threshold
- ±1.00%
- Price provider
- coinbase
- Evaluated at
- 13 Oct 2026, 06:11 UTC
- Policy version
- v1.0
