Prediction evidence
unscoredPolicy v1.0Source post
Published 28 Aug 2026, 14:19 UTC · fetched 12 Oct 2026, 06:29 UTC
The Wolf Of All Streets
@scottmelker
Quoting · 28 Aug 2026, 13:01 UTC · context given to the AI
The Fed Could Blow Up Bitcoin’s Breakout Today https://t.co/lJwAxhsf2PJason from Blockworks says AI is having its 2021 crypto moment, and a reckoning is coming "I actually believe AI is going through the moment that happened to crypto in 2021, where everything caught a bid. Celebrities were launching not only NFTs but their own chains. If you put blockchain in the name of your company you could raise a round. That's happening with AI right now." "There will be a reckoning, I promise you. And then in a couple of years the best companies in AI will be a hundred times larger than they are today. But there has to be the reckoning." "We just had the reckoning in crypto. There will be some amazing companies to buy in crypto. I think Bitcoin will do extremely well, I think HYPE will do well, a lot of my portfolio is still Solana." "There are some really good companies that will do well and come out of this reckoning, but it won't be one big trade like it was last time."View original on X ↗
How this was scored
Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result
unscored Repeat call within an existing 24h episode
Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology
Same 24h episode
Repeated same-asset, same-direction calls count once, anchored to the first eligible post
- “CRYPTOQUANT FOUNDER KI YOUNG JU: “THE BITCOIN BEAR CYCLE IS OVER.” https://t.co/nGA6htrkNy”Repeat27 Aug 2026, 21:58 UTC
- “Jason from Blockworks on the sequence of triggers that he thinks started this bull market "August 28th, nine days ago, Treasury doubles the size of the long end liquidity support buybacks from 2 billion to 4 billion. Bitcoin touches 80 or 81k, and that's roughly where we're flirting around today. Then step two was a huge $2.7 billion short squeeze." "The important thing that happened after that, which I don't think people have talked enough about, is that mainstream financial media, Reuters, the Journal, the Financial Times, started to put Bitcoin back into the story. Crypto Twitter might say these folks don't matter, but the large hedge funds and capital allocators are reading them every single morning." "And it wasn't just a story about prices, it was a story about the debasement trade. Bitcoin as a debasement trade is completely back on the table after not being in the conversation for a year and a half." "Alongside that, Washington has completely changed their stance on crypto. Clarity stalled out, but the SEC and CFTC moved forward with agency level policy. And the backdrop is that the onchain economy never really had a bear market. Peak to trough for stablecoins last cycle was a 30% drawdown, this cycle it was 4%. You've got this onchain economy booming and a macro fuse that lit the box of tinder. This is the very beginning of a bull market."”Repeat28 Aug 2026, 15:19 UTC
AI interpretation
Uses only text available at publication time
- Asset
- Bitcoin (BTC)
- Direction
- ▲ Bullish
- Intent
- explicit
- Horizon
- 24 hours (default, none stated)
- Evidence span
- “I think Bitcoin will do extremely well”
- Confidence
- 80%
- Review state
- auto accepted
- Model / prompt
- gemini-3.1-flash-lite · prompt-v1
Outcome record
- Status
- unscored
- Baseline price
- —
- Evaluation price
- —
- Move
- —
- Neutral threshold
- ±1.00%
- Price provider
- —
- Evaluated at
- 13 Oct 2026, 06:11 UTC
- Policy version
- v1.0
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