Prediction evidence
incorrectPolicy v1.0Source post
Published 27 Aug 2026, 19:25 UTC · fetched 13 Oct 2026, 05:55 UTC
Michaël van de Poppe
@CryptoMichNL
Upwards trends can last longer than you expect, which means that we're looking for another push on the #Altcoin markets. I think that we'll also see a push of #Bitcoin to atleast $82,700, perhaps even $90,000. Does that rule out a heavy correction in September/October? Definitely not. A standard 20-40% correction does happen in a bull market.View original on X ↗
How this was scored
Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result
- Baseline: first BTC price at or after publication, $79,920 at 27 Aug 2026, 20:00 UTC.
- Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $77,558 at 28 Aug 2026, 20:00 UTC.
r = 77558.06 / 79919.87 − 1 = -2.96%- Direction d = +1 (bullish), so
d × r = -2.96%against a neutral band of ±1.00% → incorrect
Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology
AI interpretation
Uses only text available at publication time
- Asset
- Bitcoin (BTC)
- Direction
- ▲ Bullish
- Intent
- explicit
- Horizon
- 24 hours (default, none stated)
- Evidence span
- “I think that we'll also see a push of #Bitcoin to atleast $82,700, perhaps even $90,000.”
- Confidence
- 70%
- Review state
- auto accepted
- Model / prompt
- gemini-3.1-flash-lite · prompt-v1
Outcome record
- Status
- incorrect
- Baseline price
- $79,920
- Evaluation price
- $77,558
- Move
- -2.96%
- Neutral threshold
- ±1.00%
- Price provider
- coinbase
- Evaluated at
- 13 Oct 2026, 06:11 UTC
- Policy version
- v1.0
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