Prediction evidence

unscoredPolicy v1.0

Source post

Published 26 Aug 2026, 19:54 UTC · fetched 13 Oct 2026, 05:55 UTC

Michaël van de Poppe

@CryptoMichNL

Quoting · 26 Aug 2026, 13:03 UTC · context given to the AI

Crypto-backed mortgages have moved in. Borrowers in the US can now use Bitcoin as collateral for a down payment - without having to sell it or face margin calls. Plus, Coinbase One members can get up to $10,000 back at closing. https://t.co/wMroUwVahX
This is actually massive, #Bitcoin backed mortgages will only expand the adoption of crypto. https://t.co/90sza7fxF0
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How this was scored

Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result

unscored Repeat call within an existing 24h episode

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology

Same 24h episode

Repeated same-asset, same-direction calls count once, anchored to the first eligible post

  • “The markets are saved, the earnings on $NVDA are very positive. Time for the Nasdaq to go up, time for #Bitcoin to have another rally. https://t.co/046aixwog1”Repeat26 Aug 2026, 20:21 UTC
  • “Clearly, I'm looking at #Bitcoin and it's on edge. The lower timeframe picture to me is clear; - Hold above $79,000 and this continues to run towards new highs. - Lose $79,000 and the next level of support is at $77,100 and the ranging consolidation continues. It's not that hard at this point, however, I stand by the fact that I assume we'll see BTC pairs of altcoins pick up momentum vs. Bitcoin continuing the run heavily.”Repeat27 Aug 2026, 12:11 UTC
  • “That is a great bounce on #Bitcoin. https://t.co/pGS3n4jdDg https://t.co/E8J1CvZx8D”Repeat27 Aug 2026, 14:53 UTC
  • “The $BTC chart of $SUI looks absolutely horrible. However, this is about to change for two reasons. - Technically there are massive bullish divergences indicating that the markets are about to reverse. We've seen this at the low for #Bitcoin, and it's also shown on many #Altcoin charts, meaning that better times are upon us. - I assume that we'll see #Bitcoin consolidate soon enough, meaning that liquidity will start to rotate towards other narratives and that's where I think #Altcoins will start to do well.”Repeat27 Aug 2026, 17:37 UTC

AI interpretation

Uses only text available at publication time

Asset
Bitcoin (BTC)
Direction
▲ Bullish
Intent
inferred
Horizon
24 hours (default, none stated)
Evidence span
“This is actually massive, #Bitcoin backed mortgages will only expand the adoption of crypto.”
Confidence
70%
Review state
auto accepted
Model / prompt
gemini-3.1-flash-lite · prompt-v1

Outcome record

Status
unscored
Baseline price
—
Evaluation price
—
Move
—
Neutral threshold
±1.00%
Price provider
—
Evaluated at
13 Oct 2026, 06:11 UTC
Policy version
v1.0

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