Prediction evidence
incorrectPolicy v1.0Source post
Published 25 Aug 2026, 08:39 UTC · fetched 13 Oct 2026, 05:55 UTC
Michaël van de Poppe
@CryptoMichNL
Many #Altcoins have not even seen a move at all. $SOL is moving upwards here, but as you can see, the bear market lasted for a year and we've not even gained 20% of that back. Great period upon us. https://t.co/L2ipVDE7OkView original on X ↗
How this was scored
Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result
- Baseline: first SOL price at or after publication, $100.37 at 25 Aug 2026, 09:00 UTC.
- Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $96.82 at 26 Aug 2026, 09:00 UTC.
r = 96.82 / 100.37 − 1 = -3.54%- Direction d = +1 (bullish), so
d × r = -3.54%against a neutral band of ±1.50% → incorrect
Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology
AI interpretation
Uses only text available at publication time
- Asset
- Solana (SOL)
- Direction
- ▲ Bullish
- Intent
- inferred
- Horizon
- 24 hours (default, none stated)
- Evidence span
- “$SOL is moving upwards here”
- Confidence
- 80%
- Review state
- auto accepted
- Model / prompt
- gemini-3.1-flash-lite · prompt-v1
Outcome record
- Status
- incorrect
- Baseline price
- $100.37
- Evaluation price
- $96.82
- Move
- -3.54%
- Neutral threshold
- ±1.50%
- Price provider
- coinbase
- Evaluated at
- 13 Oct 2026, 06:11 UTC
- Policy version
- v1.0