Prediction evidence
correctPolicy v1.0Source post
Published 24 Aug 2026, 18:42 UTC · fetched 13 Oct 2026, 05:55 UTC
The Crypto Dog 📈
@TheCryptoDog
Quoting · 21 Jan 2025, 17:44 UTC · context given to the AI
@0xKalashnikov @zachxbt for avoidance of any doubt, the above is the canonical $ALON coinIn reply to · 24 Aug 2026, 18:39 UTC · context given to the AI
Alon has been hard shilling solana:49nkLrXi8nCZBVKsShDNasEtPe4Vn1mx9Xbr3kTa8pTL in the replies and it’s 50% down from yesterday Do you really think he’s going to stop ending every post with “Sent from my Pumpfun App” now? Shakeout before the breakout https://t.co/3e1xueYuKa@Bancrypto__ I do get the thesis but better move is to buy the coin Alon has officially CTO'd, set up the telegram for and has been active in the community and last cycle sent to 200m+ $ALON https://t.co/nd1xUAChZKView original on X ↗
How this was scored
Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result
- Baseline: first SOL price at or after publication, $95.92 at 24 Aug 2026, 19:00 UTC.
- Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $98.50 at 25 Aug 2026, 19:00 UTC.
r = 98.5 / 95.92 − 1 = +2.69%- Direction d = +1 (bullish), so
d × r = +2.69%against a neutral band of ±1.50% → correct
Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology
AI interpretation
Uses only text available at publication time
- Asset
- Solana (SOL)
- Direction
- ▲ Bullish
- Intent
- inferred
- Horizon
- 24 hours (default, none stated)
- Evidence span
- “Shakeout before the breakout”
- Confidence
- 70%
- Review state
- auto accepted
- Model / prompt
- gemini-3.1-flash-lite · prompt-v1
Outcome record
- Status
- correct
- Baseline price
- $95.92
- Evaluation price
- $98.50
- Move
- +2.69%
- Neutral threshold
- ±1.50%
- Price provider
- coinbase
- Evaluated at
- 13 Oct 2026, 06:11 UTC
- Policy version
- v1.0