Prediction evidence
unscoredPolicy v1.0Source post
Published 24 Aug 2026, 17:58 UTC · fetched 12 Oct 2026, 06:29 UTC
The Wolf Of All Streets
@scottmelker
Quoting · 24 Aug 2026, 16:12 UTC · context given to the AI
https://t.co/aKa1sKR90CBitcoin ETFs saw their biggest weekly inflow in 10 months "The fact that Bitcoin started pushing towards 80 was not just because shorts were being liquidated. That was not a leverage squeeze at all. What we can now see is that a big part of it was Bitcoin ETFs having their biggest weekly inflow in 10 months during the rally" "Bitcoin ETFs attracted $1.92 billion in the week. Ether ETFs added another $697 million, which is a very large number" "I had Alex Thorn from Galaxy on Macro Monday this morning, and he pointed out that this was effectively the most volume we've seen on Bitcoin ETFs since the all time high for Bitcoin in price and for ETFs back in October" "So that cannot be ignored. People buying ETFs is not part of a short squeeze. It is general belief that the bottom is likely in, and this is the time to re-enter the asset class"View original on X ↗
How this was scored
Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result
unscored Repeat call within an existing 24h episode
Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology
Same 24h episode
Repeated same-asset, same-direction calls count once, anchored to the first eligible post
- “Avi on the unexpected sequence that produced the debasement trade "What really stuck out to me was gold, when gold started to trade well off that 4000 base, which is also a completely flow based trade. You had the Korean central bank start buying again, you had China stop selling to shore up reserves" "It set up a really good environment for what we're now experiencing, which is the debasement trade. You have Bessent pouring $4 billion into Treasury buybacks and basically saying that we're willing to intervene, and he's intervening in the yen markets" "This wasn't really on a lot of people's radars, people just didn't think that was going to happen" "I think Bitcoin really can only rally when the primary form of returns is money printing, or debasement. That's what we're seeing now, and that's why Bitcoin started to go up"”Repeat25 Aug 2026, 14:05 UTC
AI interpretation
Uses only text available at publication time
- Asset
- Bitcoin (BTC)
- Direction
- ▲ Bullish
- Intent
- inferred
- Horizon
- 24 hours (default, none stated)
- Evidence span
- “It is general belief that the bottom is likely in, and this is the time to re-enter the asset class”
- Confidence
- 90%
- Review state
- auto accepted
- Model / prompt
- gemini-3.1-flash-lite · prompt-v1
Outcome record
- Status
- unscored
- Baseline price
- —
- Evaluation price
- —
- Move
- —
- Neutral threshold
- ±1.00%
- Price provider
- —
- Evaluated at
- 13 Oct 2026, 06:11 UTC
- Policy version
- v1.0
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