Prediction evidence
unscoredPolicy v1.0Source post
Published 24 Aug 2026, 14:42 UTC · fetched 12 Oct 2026, 06:29 UTC
The Wolf Of All Streets
@scottmelker
Quoting · 24 Aug 2026, 13:00 UTC · context given to the AI
Bitcoin RIPS 24% as $2.6 BILLION Floods Back Into Crypto https://t.co/baiFuBVNTE"This is a classic case of a short covering rally, an opportunity to sell" Mike McGlone takes the short side of a bet on Bitcoin at $78,000 "Part of it is the responses I'm getting from people. Emotions, you should never show emotions in investing" "The Fed is tightening, Bitcoin's rolled over the 50 week moving average, and it's up against resistance. I just look at that, it's August, that's sell" "So right now, Dave, the price is 78,000. I'll consider myself short to you by the end of the year, whoever wins gets bragging rights"View original on X ↗
How this was scored
Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result
unscored Awaiting manual review
Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology
AI interpretation
Uses only text available at publication time
- Asset
- Bitcoin (BTC)
- Direction
- ▼ Bearish
- Intent
- explicit
- Horizon
- 24 hours (default, none stated)
- Evidence span
- “I'll consider myself short to you by the end of the year”
- Confidence
- 90%
- Review state
- needs review · Unsupported horizon: "by the end of the year"
- Model / prompt
- gemini-3.1-flash-lite · prompt-v1
Outcome record
- Status
- unscored
- Baseline price
- —
- Evaluation price
- —
- Move
- —
- Neutral threshold
- ±1.00%
- Price provider
- —
- Evaluated at
- 13 Oct 2026, 06:11 UTC
- Policy version
- v1.0
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