Prediction evidence
incorrectPolicy v1.0Source post
Published 24 Aug 2026, 13:56 UTC · fetched 13 Oct 2026, 05:56 UTC
K A L E O
@CryptoKaleo
Quoting · 24 Aug 2026, 09:08 UTC · context given to the AI
Cash Cats NFTs are free anywhere under all time highs. They won’t be forever. https://t.co/JX0m1xbnBKLast time they went down 84%, they ripped 4000% out of the base range. We just saw another 84% dip and they once again look ready to rip out of the base range. Send them to 3 ETH+ with haste. https://t.co/SbzYs92AH2 https://t.co/tkCG91PzVKView original on X ↗
How this was scored
Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result
- Baseline: first ETH price at or after publication, $2,493 at 24 Aug 2026, 14:00 UTC.
- Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $2,461 at 25 Aug 2026, 14:00 UTC.
r = 2460.83 / 2492.65 − 1 = -1.28%- Direction d = +1 (bullish), so
d × r = -1.28%against a neutral band of ±1.25% → incorrect
Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology
AI interpretation
Uses only text available at publication time
- Asset
- Ethereum (ETH)
- Direction
- ▲ Bullish
- Intent
- explicit
- Horizon
- 24 hours (default, none stated)
- Evidence span
- “Send them to 3 ETH+ with haste.”
- Confidence
- 90%
- Review state
- auto accepted
- Model / prompt
- gemini-3.1-flash-lite · prompt-v1
Outcome record
- Status
- incorrect
- Baseline price
- $2,493
- Evaluation price
- $2,461
- Move
- -1.28%
- Neutral threshold
- ±1.25%
- Price provider
- coinbase
- Evaluated at
- 13 Oct 2026, 06:11 UTC
- Policy version
- v1.0