Prediction evidence

unscoredPolicy v1.0

Source post

Published 23 Aug 2026, 20:04 UTC · fetched 13 Oct 2026, 05:55 UTC

Michaël van de Poppe

@CryptoMichNL

Quoting · 23 Aug 2026, 10:08 UTC · context given to the AI

The shift has begun. Buckle up. https://t.co/wNNbKRvJfn
The bull market has barely started at this point for #Bitcoin. https://t.co/mXQlJnF8UI
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How this was scored

Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result

unscored Repeat call within an existing 24h episode

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology

Same 24h episode

Repeated same-asset, same-direction calls count once, anchored to the first eligible post

  • “There we go. Level was hit on $BTC and immediate bounce upwards. I would assume we're seeing a slight correction going into Monday and from there we'll attack $80,000+ and potentially $82,800. https://t.co/CgrfgpZnCv https://t.co/5oxHYehMpE”Repeat23 Aug 2026, 15:47 UTC
  • “Little sweep on the lows for #Bitcoin and we're bouncing upwards. As long as it stays above $77,000, I think we'll see a test at $80,000 coming in. https://t.co/MeJHInkzyv https://t.co/hBf4Dhkt7s”Repeat24 Aug 2026, 08:01 UTC

AI interpretation

Uses only text available at publication time

Asset
Bitcoin (BTC)
Direction
▲ Bullish
Intent
explicit
Horizon
24 hours (default, none stated)
Evidence span
“The bull market has barely started at this point for #Bitcoin.”
Confidence
90%
Review state
auto accepted
Model / prompt
gemini-3.1-flash-lite · prompt-v1

Outcome record

Status
unscored
Baseline price
—
Evaluation price
—
Move
—
Neutral threshold
±1.00%
Price provider
—
Evaluated at
13 Oct 2026, 06:11 UTC
Policy version
v1.0

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