Prediction evidence
unscoredPolicy v1.0Source post
Published 23 Aug 2026, 17:58 UTC · fetched 13 Oct 2026, 05:55 UTC
Michaël van de Poppe
@CryptoMichNL
Quoting · 23 Aug 2026, 13:18 UTC · context given to the AI
Bitcoin 2-week MACD just flashed a bullish cross The last two happened at the exact cycle bottoms https://t.co/GVFN87ZgpIWe're at the exact same point in time. The end of the bear market, the Q4 2022 period. This time it's earlier, as everything is different in previous cycle anyway. The good part: from here we're in a bull market for #Bitcoin & #Crypto. https://t.co/OiYD9pKEVRView original on X ↗
How this was scored
Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result
unscored Awaiting manual review
Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology
AI interpretation
Uses only text available at publication time
- Asset
- Bitcoin (BTC)
- Direction
- ▲ Bullish
- Intent
- explicit
- Horizon
- 24 hours (default, none stated)
- Evidence span
- “We're at the exact same point in time. The end of the bear market, the Q4 2022 period. This time it's earlier, as everything is different in previous cycle anyway. The good part: from here we're in a bull market for #Bitcoin & #Crypto. https://t.co/OiYD9pKEVR”
- Confidence
- 90%
- Review state
- needs review · Evidence not found in post
- Model / prompt
- gemini-3.1-flash-lite · prompt-v1
Outcome record
- Status
- unscored
- Baseline price
- —
- Evaluation price
- —
- Move
- —
- Neutral threshold
- ±1.00%
- Price provider
- —
- Evaluated at
- 13 Oct 2026, 06:11 UTC
- Policy version
- v1.0
Request a correction
Think the interpretation or outcome is wrong? Sign in with X to request a correction, so reviewers know who is asking.
Sign in to request a correction