Prediction evidence

unscoredPolicy v1.0

Source post

Published 23 Aug 2026, 17:58 UTC · fetched 13 Oct 2026, 05:55 UTC

Michaël van de Poppe

@CryptoMichNL

Quoting · 23 Aug 2026, 13:18 UTC · context given to the AI

Bitcoin 2-week MACD just flashed a bullish cross The last two happened at the exact cycle bottoms https://t.co/GVFN87ZgpI
We're at the exact same point in time. The end of the bear market, the Q4 2022 period. This time it's earlier, as everything is different in previous cycle anyway. The good part: from here we're in a bull market for #Bitcoin & #Crypto. https://t.co/OiYD9pKEVR
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How this was scored

Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result

unscored Awaiting manual review

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology

AI interpretation

Uses only text available at publication time

Asset
Bitcoin (BTC)
Direction
▲ Bullish
Intent
explicit
Horizon
24 hours (default, none stated)
Evidence span
“We're at the exact same point in time. The end of the bear market, the Q4 2022 period. This time it's earlier, as everything is different in previous cycle anyway. The good part: from here we're in a bull market for #Bitcoin & #Crypto. https://t.co/OiYD9pKEVR”
Confidence
90%
Review state
needs review · Evidence not found in post
Model / prompt
gemini-3.1-flash-lite · prompt-v1

Outcome record

Status
unscored
Baseline price
—
Evaluation price
—
Move
—
Neutral threshold
±1.00%
Price provider
—
Evaluated at
13 Oct 2026, 06:11 UTC
Policy version
v1.0

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