Prediction evidence
correctPolicy v1.0Source post
Published 23 Aug 2026, 17:32 UTC · fetched 13 Oct 2026, 05:55 UTC
Ansem 🐂🀄️
@blknoiz06
In reply to · 23 Aug 2026, 17:29 UTC · context given to the AI
bitcoin convincingly breaks through the low 80s and this place will get so euphoric it will make 2021 plumber days (the easiest year in the history of markets) look like childs play@notthreadguy we are going to make so much moneyView original on X ↗
How this was scored
Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result
- Baseline: first BTC price at or after publication, $77,168 at 23 Aug 2026, 18:00 UTC.
- Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $78,755 at 24 Aug 2026, 18:00 UTC.
r = 78754.8 / 77167.83 − 1 = +2.06%- Direction d = +1 (bullish), so
d × r = +2.06%against a neutral band of ±1.00% → correct
Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology
AI interpretation
Uses only text available at publication time
- Asset
- Bitcoin (BTC)
- Direction
- ▲ Bullish
- Intent
- inferred
- Horizon
- 24 hours (default, none stated)
- Evidence span
- “@notthreadguy we are going to make so much money”
- Confidence
- 70%
- Review state
- auto accepted
- Model / prompt
- gemini-3.1-flash-lite · prompt-v1
Outcome record
- Status
- correct
- Baseline price
- $77,168
- Evaluation price
- $78,755
- Move
- +2.06%
- Neutral threshold
- ±1.00%
- Price provider
- coinbase
- Evaluated at
- 13 Oct 2026, 06:11 UTC
- Policy version
- v1.0