Prediction evidence
neutralPolicy v1.0Source post
Published 22 Aug 2026, 19:50 UTC · fetched 13 Oct 2026, 05:55 UTC
Michaël van de Poppe
@CryptoMichNL
When it comes to $ETH, I'm expecting to see a period like this. I don't think we'll blast through $3,000 in one-go. Probably we'll consolidate for a second in this area, sweep some lows and continue to grind higher after that. Most likely towards a new all-time high. https://t.co/3nPwudhKBkView original on X ↗
How this was scored
Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result
- Baseline: first ETH price at or after publication, $2,439 at 22 Aug 2026, 20:00 UTC.
- Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $2,445 at 23 Aug 2026, 20:00 UTC.
r = 2444.58 / 2439 − 1 = +0.23%- Direction d = +1 (bullish), so
d × r = +0.23%against a neutral band of ±1.25% → neutral
Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology
AI interpretation
Uses only text available at publication time
- Asset
- Ethereum (ETH)
- Direction
- ▲ Bullish
- Intent
- inferred
- Horizon
- 24 hours (default, none stated)
- Evidence span
- “Most likely towards a new all-time high.”
- Confidence
- 90%
- Review state
- auto accepted
- Model / prompt
- gemini-3.1-flash-lite · prompt-v1
Outcome record
- Status
- neutral
- Baseline price
- $2,439
- Evaluation price
- $2,445
- Move
- +0.23%
- Neutral threshold
- ±1.25%
- Price provider
- coinbase
- Evaluated at
- 13 Oct 2026, 06:11 UTC
- Policy version
- v1.0
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