Prediction evidence
neutralPolicy v1.0Source post
Published 22 Aug 2026, 14:48 UTC · fetched 13 Oct 2026, 05:55 UTC
Michaël van de Poppe
@CryptoMichNL
To be fair, on the short-term, I'm looking at a scenario like this on $ETH. Probably we'll get our standard weekend pump and then we'll get our standard Monday morning correction. Everything in between is relatively boring and shouldn't be traded unless you are an addict. Dips buying early next week is probably going to be favourable going forward.View original on X ↗
How this was scored
Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result
- Baseline: first ETH price at or after publication, $2,414 at 22 Aug 2026, 15:00 UTC.
- Evaluation: price at the end of the 7 days horizon, $2,449 at 29 Aug 2026, 15:00 UTC.
r = 2448.96 / 2413.57 − 1 = +1.47%- Direction d = +1 (bullish), so
d × r = +1.47%against a neutral band of ±3.00% → neutral
Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology
AI interpretation
Uses only text available at publication time
- Asset
- Ethereum (ETH)
- Direction
- ▲ Bullish
- Intent
- inferred
- Horizon
- 7 days (stated in post)
- Evidence span
- “Dips buying early next week is probably going to be favourable going forward.”
- Confidence
- 80%
- Review state
- auto accepted
- Model / prompt
- gemini-3.1-flash-lite · prompt-v1
Outcome record
- Status
- neutral
- Baseline price
- $2,414
- Evaluation price
- $2,449
- Move
- +1.47%
- Neutral threshold
- ±3.00%
- Price provider
- coinbase
- Evaluated at
- 13 Oct 2026, 06:11 UTC
- Policy version
- v1.0