Prediction evidence
unscoredPolicy v1.0Source post
Published 21 Aug 2026, 21:02 UTC · fetched 12 Oct 2026, 06:30 UTC
The Wolf Of All Streets
@scottmelker
After months of evidence that a bottom was forming, Bitcoin is finally beginning to confirm it where it matters most (price) Today's newsletter: https://t.co/MII13PyPUyView original on X ↗
How this was scored
Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result
unscored Repeat call within an existing 24h episode
Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology
Same 24h episode
Repeated same-asset, same-direction calls count once, anchored to the first eligible post
- “"This market pullback was only 50%, the previous ones were 75 or 80%" Matt Hougan on why he thinks Bitcoin is becoming a mature asset "What's going to happen, the narrative we're all going to say in a month, is look, Bitcoin is maturing as an institutional asset" "The next market pullback, maybe 30%. We're moving into mature asset case" "It's sort of all set up beautifully for that to be the narrative. You see BlackRock reiterating its core arguments for Bitcoin" "I do think it's going to be an institutional store of value in this cycle"”Repeat21 Aug 2026, 13:55 UTC
- “Matt Hougan believes the buyers stepping in now are holding for $150,000 to $250,000 "I don't want to steal the words of my friend Matt Hougan, but he made the point that he does not think this is impulsive buyers who are buying Bitcoin at $72,000 to sell at $76,000" "He thinks there has been a lot of sentiment that once Bitcoin gets bigger, we are once again entering three years of a bull market in the four year cycle, and people are starting to position for that" "So he believes, and I tend to agree, that a lot of the buying we're seeing right now is buyers who want to hold this asset to new all time highs beyond $126,000, up into $150,000, $200,000, $250,000, if this market does what we think it can"”Repeat21 Aug 2026, 16:42 UTC
AI interpretation
Uses only text available at publication time
- Asset
- Bitcoin (BTC)
- Direction
- ▲ Bullish
- Intent
- inferred
- Horizon
- 24 hours (default, none stated)
- Evidence span
- “After months of evidence that a bottom was forming, Bitcoin is finally beginning to confirm it where it matters most (price)”
- Confidence
- 90%
- Review state
- auto accepted
- Model / prompt
- gemini-3.1-flash-lite · prompt-v1
Outcome record
- Status
- unscored
- Baseline price
- —
- Evaluation price
- —
- Move
- —
- Neutral threshold
- ±1.00%
- Price provider
- —
- Evaluated at
- 13 Oct 2026, 06:11 UTC
- Policy version
- v1.0
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