Prediction evidence
unscoredPolicy v1.0Source post
Published 21 Aug 2026, 16:33 UTC · fetched 12 Oct 2026, 06:30 UTC
The Wolf Of All Streets
@scottmelker
Quoting · 21 Aug 2026, 16:00 UTC · context given to the AI
https://t.co/GGwMaV1TzAMore than $4 billion in crypto shorts liquidated over two days "Bearish crypto bets lose record 3 billion as Bitcoin tops 71,000. That was yesterday, and then I woke up and it was up to almost $80,000 Bitcoin, and that 3 billion in liquidated shorts had become almost 4 billion" "So what we have here is Bitcoin up roughly 24% this week, once again the strongest week since 2023" "Bitcoin ETFs added $606 million just Thursday, after over 500 million on Wednesday. Ether ETFs also added 221 million, which is a sizable number relative to total inflows" "More than $4 billion in crypto shorts liquidated over two days, giving us much more evidence that maybe the bottom is in"View original on X ↗
How this was scored
Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result
unscored Awaiting manual review
Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology
AI interpretation
Uses only text available at publication time
- Asset
- Bitcoin (BTC)
- Direction
- ▲ Bullish
- Intent
- inferred
- Horizon
- 24 hours (default, none stated)
- Evidence span
- “More than $4 billion in crypto shorts liquidated over two days, giving us much more evidence that maybe the bottom is in”
- Confidence
- 70%
- Review state
- needs review · Low confidence (70%)
- Model / prompt
- gemini-3.1-flash-lite · prompt-v1
Outcome record
- Status
- unscored
- Baseline price
- —
- Evaluation price
- —
- Move
- —
- Neutral threshold
- ±1.00%
- Price provider
- —
- Evaluated at
- 13 Oct 2026, 06:11 UTC
- Policy version
- v1.0
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